Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 512.607340 544.964134 578.576787 616.159582 657.079231 700.359256 749.698190
2026-01-11 470.666778 515.264385 563.452579 619.599229 683.484843 754.223517 838.902866
2026-01-18 441.307755 493.155440 550.758212 619.895126 701.144628 794.245130 909.932073
2026-01-25 421.563784 479.083226 544.469362 624.917045 722.082775 836.751727 983.973874
2026-02-01 405.821945 467.899277 539.876839 630.371016 742.347977 878.032242 1057.493807
2026-02-08 393.093877 459.081631 536.958736 636.802238 763.108339 919.937226 1133.230352
2026-02-15 379.310865 447.968830 530.261415 637.602500 776.096296 951.885816 1197.135578
2026-02-22 366.961464 437.813353 523.943729 638.088882 788.080840 982.436193 1260.225137
2026-03-01 357.043671 430.078948 520.056952 641.118252 803.018745 1017.047306 1330.300345
2026-03-08 346.203505 420.606013 513.372885 639.903419 811.847739 1043.374298 1389.791150
2026-03-15 337.133139 412.944201 508.556990 640.697008 823.074564 1073.111804 1455.473935
2026-03-22 328.392171 405.304597 503.349571 640.536005 832.679830 1100.668648 1519.185097
2026-03-29 320.322949 398.256955 498.639081 640.797786 842.795951 1129.354683 1586.366962
2026-04-05 314.082353 393.355984 496.523718 644.402475 857.607383 1165.336443 1666.819262
2026-04-12 307.040104 387.098539 492.275083 644.714696 867.470648 1194.203545 1737.580638
2026-04-19 302.230042 383.646828 491.653909 650.007624 884.677255 1234.764957 1829.685667
2026-04-26 297.865933 380.618355 491.440021 655.756787 902.647542 1277.201211 1927.601457
2026-05-03 294.097063 378.249160 491.997380 662.537238 922.320365 1323.119727 2034.494803
2026-05-10 288.579990 373.262987 488.663896 663.381042 932.781606 1354.702309 2118.473424
2026-05-17 283.242657 368.352609 485.244300 663.893897 942.622179 1385.591060 2203.187180
2026-05-24 279.006970 364.851969 483.695131 667.088312 956.709495 1424.032040 2304.288139
2026-05-31 273.610456 359.541321 479.343340 665.807260 963.484391 1450.405571 2384.643155
2026-06-07 269.092076 355.351441 476.473070 666.644101 973.625205 1482.877528 2478.871471